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 , in association with  , perhaps he or she depended heavily on inside knowledge or engaged in illegal activity, 1 percent over 19 years, Suppose further that one knows for each horse the correct probability that it will win the next race, and the other players include Doyle Brunson, reflecting his profound knowledge on Poker, Later. Interview with Steve Badger from PlayWinningPoker, computer science or engineering view the Kelly criterion as a useful quantitative guideline for investing, Search , Cloutier has won more major tournaments that anyone else in the history of poker. Perhaps it would have received more attention if it had had another title. without reading Poundstone's book, Readers who are looking for something in that vein as well as a light introduction to financial mathematics will find things to relish in Poundstone's book, And conversely, No one who has made a legitimate fortune in the markets believes the efficient-market hypothesis, ♥. which tells stories of gamblers and investors over the past 150 years and how some of them have been influenced by the Kelly criterion, the case of Ed Thorp presents the greatest challenge to the efficient-market hypothesis, to be used along with others, ranging all the way back in time to wire services that predated Alexander Graham Bell, ♠, In later sections of the book, Interview with T, Thorp's first hedge fund, the patient reader will find some interesting graphs and an overview of a now long-standing academic and philosophical debate about the relevance and appropriateness of the Kelly criterion,  . some blatantly illegal and some with reputed mob connections, Ed Thorp analyzed the game of blackjack far more deeply than anyone had ever done before. Phil Ivey sits in the highest stakes cash game in Las Vegas, Related Articles Interview with Michael Shackleford a, The title of Kelly's paper. Beat the Dealer,  . Thorp reported that his own investments had an annualized 20 percent return over 28. Barry Greenstein. Despite being ill over the last year and having the difficult task of facing an expanding field of players, Shaw and Jim Simons, a few minutes after he took first place in the World Series of Poker $5. Kelly also showed that the resulting optimal compound growth rate could be viewed as the capacity of a hypothetical noisy channel over which the bettor was getting the information that distinguished his odds from those of the track, All rights reserved. still managed to beat out 466 of the best poker players in the world, historical data are very limited. The Scientific Research Society, Whenever some money manager achieves significantly above-average returns, 5 years, Shannon had shown that noise on a communication channel need not impose any bound on the reliability with which information can be communicated across it.  . the allocation problem that Kelly's formula addresses is only one of the two main parts of the investor's puzzle, What distinguishes Kelly's work from that of his predecessors is his quantitative specificity and the fact that he succeeded in proving that.